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Red33
260321.5
81405.2
63553.7
Blue51
155920.6
412113.5
13088.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294301020506070803351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.3
21.121.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End8.6
red by 0.9
1559
#14
20.60.5
19.820.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End9.6
Second
8140
#55
5.20.4
4.95.3
Auto1.0
Teleop1.0
End3.2
blue by 8.3
4121
#33
13.50.9
12.112.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.5
End5.9
Third
6355
#59
3.70.4
2.83.2
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.1
blue by 4.5
1308
#44
8.20.9
6.97.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned