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Red51
317324.3
82439.6
412113.5
Blue56
461114.7
716519.3
37923.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45692060801005156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#11
24.30.4
23.123.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End10.3
red by 0.5
379
#6
23.80.4
25.324.9
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End10.7
Second
4121
#33
13.50.6
12.913.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.5
End5.9
blue by 5.8
7165
#28
19.30.4
19.719.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End8.2
Third
8243
#27
9.60.6
9.09.6
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End3.5
blue by 5.1
4611
#31
14.70.5
16.616.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned