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Red50
411912.6
618121.0
377711.2
Blue45
87189.9
541311.0
493021.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464302060801001205045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6181
#23
21.00.7
20.621.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End9.6
blue by 0.2
4930
#21
21.20.3
20.520.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End7.1
Second
4119
#38
12.60.7
11.912.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End2.6
red by 1.6
5413
#46
11.00.4
10.511.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Third
3777
#22
11.20.7
10.611.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End4.3
red by 1.4
8718
#49
9.90.4
9.49.9
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed