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Red62
393117.7
234116.2
602621.8
Blue40
425624.1
586312.0
18069.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36331020405060706240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.83.2
13.116.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End7.1
blue by 2.4
24.11.0
13.514.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End11.2
Second
3931
#18
17.73.2
10.013.2
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
red by 5.7
5863
#27
12.01.0
7.88.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End5.5
Third
2341
#29
16.23.2
10.213.4
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End6.9
red by 7.1
1806
#22
9.11.0
9.910.8
Auto1.9
Teleop5.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsEarned