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Red83
361618.3
555019.7
161939.3
Blue20
24618.4
34659.0
23599.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55270204060801008320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.33.5
25.829.3
Auto9.7
Teleop17.7
End11.9
red by 30.1
2359
#43
9.21.0
10.29.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.1
Second
5550
#10
19.73.5
8.111.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End7.7
red by 10.7
3465
#34
9.01.0
7.86.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End2.8
Third
3616
#14
18.33.5
13.917.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End6.8
red by 9.9
2461
#32
8.41.0
10.59.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed