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Red55
12097.8
449925.9
299618.3
Blue52
452232.1
593015.3
27238.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342102030506070805552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.7
17.719.4
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End3.1
blue by 6.2
32.10.5
17.618.1
Auto6.9
Teleop12.7
End12.5
Second
18.31.7
14.215.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End5.4
red by 3.0
5930
#30
15.30.5
13.013.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.5
Third
1209
#39
7.81.7
8.19.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 0.5
2723
#36
8.30.5
8.69.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed