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Red54
602621.8
271813.8
156120.3
Blue38
316013.8
234116.2
277311.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43413035404550555438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.6
16.317.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End7.1
red by 5.6
2341
#29
16.20.1
13.413.3
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End6.9
Second
1561
#13
20.31.6
14.115.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End4.8
red by 6.5
3160
#19
13.80.1
13.513.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End4.4
Third
2718
#16
13.81.6
9.611.1
Auto6.4
Teleop3.3
End4.2
red by 2.5
2773
#21
11.40.1
12.112.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsEarned