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Red45
318.3
680912.6
393117.7
Blue59
642422.2
429317.3
34659.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274102060804559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#18
17.71.5
13.214.7
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 4.5
22.22.5
16.819.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End7.6
Second
6809
#24
12.61.5
7.18.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End3.1
blue by 4.8
4293
#15
17.32.5
12.915.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End7.8
Third
31
#35
8.31.5
7.18.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End2.7
blue by 0.8
3465
#34
9.02.5
6.99.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsEarned