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Red34
234116.2
680912.6
34659.0
Blue28
74735.9
588917.4
32847.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3430010204050603428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#29
16.20.1
13.313.1
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End6.9
blue by 1.3
5889
#28
17.40.5
13.212.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End-0.5
Second
6809
#24
12.60.1
8.68.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End3.1
red by 4.8
3284
#40
7.70.5
10.810.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Third
3465
#34
9.00.1
9.49.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End2.8
red by 3.2
7473
#41
5.90.5
4.64.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed