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Red54
429317.3
27238.3
379222.2
Blue29
23599.2
239510.1
593015.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42351020305060705429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3792
#17
22.21.7
14.115.8
Auto6.8
Teleop5.2
End10.1
red by 6.9
5930
#30
15.30.5
13.513.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.5
Second
4293
#15
17.31.7
15.417.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End7.8
red by 7.2
2395
#38
10.10.5
11.310.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End4.1
Third
2723
#36
8.31.7
9.110.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.8
End2.9
blue by 0.9
2359
#43
9.20.5
8.68.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed