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Red63
277311.4
642422.2
586312.0
Blue46
156120.3
588917.4
27238.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424602060806346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.3
21.021.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End7.6
red by 2.0
1561
#13
20.30.3
18.218.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End4.8
Second
5863
#27
12.00.3
8.38.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End5.5
blue by 5.4
5889
#28
17.40.3
15.115.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End-0.5
Third
2773
#21
11.40.3
11.011.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End4.8
red by 3.1
2723
#36
8.30.3
9.69.9
Auto2.6
Teleop2.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed