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Red73
216521.9
299618.3
680912.6
Blue76
393117.7
555019.7
110820.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474630405060707376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.93.0
17.320.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End6.0
red by 1.1
1108
#11
20.83.4
15.719.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End4.4
Second
18.33.0
16.719.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End5.4
blue by 1.4
5550
#10
19.73.4
12.716.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End7.7
Third
6809
#24
12.63.0
10.013.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End3.1
blue by 5.2
3931
#18
17.73.4
15.018.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsEarned