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Red93
3116.0
545435.2
216525.3
Blue58
602624.7
271819.2
808611.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67490204060801001201409358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.21.9
30.532.4
Auto8.2
Teleop17.7
End9.2
red by 10.5
24.70.4
21.822.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.5
End6.9
Second
25.32.3
21.924.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End6.4
red by 6.1
2718
#20
19.20.4
18.719.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End6.7
Third
31
#13
16.02.3
8.310.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End4.8
red by 4.2
8086
#35
11.73.0
11.78.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsMissed