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Red40
452316.3
175014.2
77447.1
Blue66
393125.2
543714.2
317921.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26510204060801004066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4523
#24
16.31.0
10.611.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End3.1
blue by 8.9
25.21.7
17.719.5
Auto4.1
Teleop19.4
End1.6
Second
1750
#27
14.21.4
8.710.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End6.7
blue by 7.5
3179
#12
21.71.4
17.218.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End11.0
Third
7744
#28
7.11.4
8.59.9
Auto1.2
Teleop4.3
End1.6
blue by 7.1
5437
#23
14.21.4
9.711.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed63%Hangar oddsMissed