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Red39
641919.9
35078.8
871112.5
Blue68
680917.9
234126.9
316017.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3655020801003968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6419
#18
19.90.1
16.116.0
Auto6.0
Teleop8.7
End5.2
blue by 6.9
26.91.2
23.124.3
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End11.3
Second
8711
#32
12.50.1
11.211.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End5.4
blue by 5.4
17.91.5
12.614.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End7.0
Third
3507
#26
8.80.1
8.68.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.4
End1.7
blue by 9.1
3160
#19
17.91.5
13.815.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsEarned