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Red20
316311.0
83077.5
198217.1
Blue57
555016.6
642422.8
80647.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275602040801001202057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#14
17.10.9
12.211.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.3
End7.0
blue by 5.7
6424
#16
22.80.3
21.221.5
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End5.1
Second
3163
#30
11.01.5
9.17.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End3.0
blue by 5.6
5550
#17
16.60.3
19.720.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.8
End7.1
Third
8307
#34
7.50.9
7.56.7
Auto1.5
Teleop4.9
End1.1
blue by 0.4
8064
#29
7.90.7
7.98.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsMissed