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Red39
23987.7
271819.2
543714.2
Blue84
198638.4
588924.5
871112.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4175020601001201403984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2718
#20
19.20.2
21.221.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End6.7
blue by 19.2
38.41.2
33.634.8
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End6.5
Second
5437
#23
14.20.2
12.912.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End5.4
blue by 10.3
5889
#11
24.51.2
20.021.2
Auto5.8
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Third
2398
#25
7.70.4
8.37.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 4.8
8711
#32
12.51.2
12.313.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned