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Red56
641919.9
400521.4
80647.9
Blue44
642422.8
77447.1
83077.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47442060801005644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4005
#10
21.40.8
17.418.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End7.2
blue by 1.4
6424
#16
22.80.1
23.423.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End5.1
Second
6419
#18
19.90.8
20.421.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.7
End5.2
red by 12.4
8307
#34
7.50.2
8.98.7
Auto1.5
Teleop4.9
End1.1
Third
8064
#29
7.91.4
5.56.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End0.3
red by 0.8
7744
#28
7.10.2
9.49.2
Auto1.2
Teleop4.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed