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Red59
871112.5
120910.7
234126.9
Blue44
316311.0
555016.6
680917.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4854203040607080901005944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.6
25.426.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End11.3
red by 8.9
17.90.7
16.115.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End7.0
Second
8711
#32
12.50.6
11.712.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End5.4
blue by 4.1
5550
#17
16.60.7
22.221.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.8
End7.1
Third
1209
#33
10.70.6
8.59.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End0.4
blue by 0.4
3163
#30
11.01.1
11.810.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned