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Red60
198638.4
317921.7
83077.5
Blue66
473513.9
641919.9
198217.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7452204060801006066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.40.5
36.435.9
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End6.5
red by 18.4
6419
#18
19.90.7
23.624.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.7
End5.2
Second
3179
#12
21.70.5
21.420.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End11.0
red by 4.6
1982
#14
17.10.7
12.713.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.3
End7.0
Third
8307
#34
7.50.7
9.08.3
Auto1.5
Teleop4.9
End1.1
blue by 6.4
4735
#15
13.90.7
15.616.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
51%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsEarned