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Red22
543714.2
83077.5
27237.9
Blue37
239512.9
35078.8
555016.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344402060802237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5437
#23
14.21.0
13.612.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End5.4
blue by 2.4
5550
#17
16.60.2
16.816.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.8
End7.1
Second
2723
#36
7.91.0
8.97.9
Auto3.9
Teleop1.0
End2.9
blue by 5.0
2395
#22
12.90.2
13.112.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.9
End6.4
Third
8307
#34
7.51.2
10.39.1
Auto1.5
Teleop4.9
End1.1
blue by 1.2
3507
#26
8.80.2
10.19.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsEarned