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Red74
641919.9
317921.7
680917.9
Blue117
393125.2
400521.4
198638.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5689020408010012074117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3179
#12
21.71.1
20.721.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End11.0
blue by 16.6
38.42.0
36.838.8
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End6.5
Second
6419
#18
19.91.1
18.819.9
Auto6.0
Teleop8.7
End5.2
blue by 5.2
25.22.0
23.425.3
Auto4.1
Teleop19.4
End1.6
Third
17.91.1
17.418.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End7.0
blue by 3.5
4005
#10
21.42.0
19.421.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsEarned