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Red111
216525.3
642422.8
234126.9
Blue90
588924.5
93517.4
545435.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777820406010012011190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.2
25.125.3
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End11.3
blue by 8.3
35.21.1
32.533.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.7
End9.2
Second
25.30.2
25.025.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End6.4
red by 0.8
5889
#11
24.51.1
24.025.1
Auto5.8
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Third
6424
#16
22.80.2
22.122.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End5.1
red by 5.3
935
#21
17.41.1
16.918.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsEarned