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Red71
808611.7
198217.1
235911.0
Blue58
175014.2
602624.7
316311.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345802040801007158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#14
17.11.8
15.517.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.3
End7.0
blue by 7.6
24.70.4
25.725.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.5
End6.9
Second
8086
#35
11.72.1
9.711.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End4.1
blue by 2.5
1750
#27
14.20.4
14.714.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End6.7
Third
2359
#31
11.01.8
10.212.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Level
3163
#30
11.00.4
11.511.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsMissed