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Red54
130521.5
415217.0
87299.4
Blue34
270615.0
201315.6
29948.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543902060801005434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.1
21.922.0
Auto6.7
Teleop6.7
End8.1
red by 5.9
15.60.1
15.515.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End5.0
Second
17.00.1
17.317.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End8.3
red by 2.0
15.00.1
14.914.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End2.8
Third
8729
#14
9.40.1
9.79.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End2.3
red by 0.9
2994
#12
8.40.1
8.48.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End3.2