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Red52
130521.5
415217.0
87299.4
Blue45
270615.0
201315.6
29948.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553902060805245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.0
22.022.0
Auto6.7
Teleop6.7
End8.1
red by 5.9
15.60.1
15.415.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End5.0
Second
17.00.0
17.517.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End8.3
red by 2.0
15.00.1
14.815.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End2.8
Third
8729
#14
9.40.0
9.89.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End2.3
red by 0.9
2994
#12
8.40.2
8.28.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End3.2