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Red40
37397.8
687511.6
132528.4
Blue67
616210.3
467844.4
87899.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427202060801001204067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.2
23.723.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End6.7
blue by 16.1
44.40.2
44.644.9
Auto12.5
Teleop20.3
End11.7
Second
6875
#14
11.60.2
13.313.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End3.7
red by 1.3
10.30.2
8.99.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End4.8
Third
3739
#15
7.80.2
6.05.8
Auto1.0
Teleop3.3
End3.5
blue by 2.0
8789
#13
9.80.2
10.010.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed56%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed89%Hangar oddsMissed