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Red60
63315.9
490322.8
540636.8
Blue72
503611.1
368334.8
502413.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796020401001206072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.8
41.040.2
Auto11.0
Teleop16.1
End9.7
red by 2.0
34.80.9
30.531.3
Auto7.7
Teleop20.8
End6.3
Second
22.80.8
23.722.9
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End11.4
red by 9.5
5024
#12
13.30.9
16.517.3
Auto6.0
Teleop3.6
End3.8
Third
6331
#16
5.90.8
7.06.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 5.2
5036
#11
11.10.9
12.213.0
Auto4.5
Teleop2.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsMissed