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Red48
77578.3
88846.6
497628.9
Blue24
130517.4
63977.5
137410.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50330204060804824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.0
23.423.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End10.1
red by 11.5
17.41.0
15.314.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End5.1
Second
8.30.1
11.611.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End2.1
blue by 2.5
1374
#15
10.81.0
11.410.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End3.1
Third
8884
#11
6.60.1
9.69.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 0.9
6397
#19
7.50.6
6.25.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed