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Red87
503223.8
434318.3
88508.6
Blue20
87313.8
494611.4
12462.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4520060801008720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#4Sur
23.83.3
15.418.7
Auto4.3
Teleop16.4
End3.0
red by 12.4
4946
#10
11.41.1
14.113.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End3.0
Second
18.33.3
15.819.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End4.3
red by 14.5
8731
#16
3.80.8
3.72.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End-0.9
Third
8850
#14
8.64.9
7.512.4
Auto0.5
Teleop5.1
End3.0
red by 6.0
1246
#18
2.60.7
4.13.4
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed