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Red47
35437.0
497628.9
77578.3
Blue24
434318.3
494611.4
88846.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425002060801004724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.1
24.624.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End10.1
red by 10.6
18.31.5
20.218.7
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End4.3
Second
8.30.2
11.611.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End2.1
blue by 3.1
4946
#10
11.42.5
14.412.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End3.0
Third
7.00.2
4.64.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.5
End2.4
red by 0.4
8884
#11
6.62.5
11.49.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed