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Red30
130517.4
12462.6
21987.8
Blue48
63977.5
857410.6
88676.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272301020304050603048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.40.3
14.714.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End5.1
red by 6.8
10.62.8
9.312.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Second
2198
#12
7.80.2
5.55.3
Auto3.9
Teleop1.6
End2.3
red by 0.2
6397
#19
7.51.7
5.67.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Third
1246
#18
2.60.2
4.74.5
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End-0.5
blue by 3.5
8867
#13
6.12.8
7.510.4
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsEarned