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Red28
88508.6
790212.4
50318.8
Blue105
497628.9
540931.4
87313.8
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2564020408010028105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.40.0
10.410.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End4.1
blue by 19.0
31.42.0
27.029.0
Auto6.4
Teleop19.3
End5.7
Second
5031
#17
8.80.0
9.08.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.4
End1.8
blue by 20.1
28.92.0
24.526.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End10.1
Third
8850
#14
8.60.1
9.39.2
Auto0.5
Teleop5.1
End3.0
red by 4.8
8731
#16
3.82.0
3.35.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsEarned