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Red21
88508.6
857410.6
87313.8
Blue23
12462.6
77578.3
88676.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282401020405060702123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.61.0
11.610.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.0
End2.0
red by 2.3
8.31.8
10.28.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End2.1
Second
8850
#14
8.61.0
9.28.2
Auto0.5
Teleop5.1
End3.0
red by 2.5
8867
#13
6.11.8
9.07.1
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End3.2
Third
8731
#16
3.80.6
5.34.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End-0.9
red by 1.2
1246
#18
2.61.1
4.13.0
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed