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Red64
540931.4
35437.0
130517.4
Blue77
497628.9
503223.8
494611.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49632040801001206477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.8
29.029.8
Auto6.4
Teleop19.3
End5.7
red by 2.5
28.91.3
26.527.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End10.1
Second
17.41.4
14.315.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End5.1
blue by 6.3
23.81.3
20.021.3
Auto4.3
Teleop16.4
End3.0
Third
7.01.4
4.45.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.5
End2.4
blue by 4.3
4946
#10
11.42.2
10.612.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned