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Red19
88846.6
87313.8
63977.5
Blue65
857410.6
434318.3
790212.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204504060801001965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6397
#19
7.50.2
8.17.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End1.3
blue by 10.8
18.31.2
17.418.7
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End4.3
Second
8884
#11
6.60.3
9.08.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 5.8
12.41.2
10.611.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End4.1
Third
8731
#16
3.80.2
4.74.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End-0.9
blue by 6.8
10.61.9
10.612.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed