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Red76
540931.4
21987.8
503223.8
Blue49
137410.8
88508.6
497628.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63462040801001207649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.7
29.830.6
Auto6.4
Teleop19.3
End5.7
red by 2.5
28.90.0
27.827.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End10.1
Second
23.80.7
21.322.0
Auto4.3
Teleop16.4
End3.0
red by 13.0
1374
#15
10.80.1
9.59.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End3.1
Third
2198
#12
7.80.7
5.76.5
Auto3.9
Teleop1.6
End2.3
blue by 0.9
8850
#14
8.60.1
8.28.2
Auto0.5
Teleop5.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsEarned