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Red69
434318.3
790212.4
77578.3
Blue76
130517.4
503223.8
137410.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395302060801006976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.2
18.118.3
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End4.3
blue by 5.4
23.80.5
22.723.2
Auto4.3
Teleop16.4
End3.0
Second
12.40.2
12.112.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End4.1
blue by 5.0
17.40.8
15.916.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End5.1
Third
8.30.3
7.98.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End2.1
blue by 2.5
1374
#15
10.80.7
9.410.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End3.1