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Red51
434318.3
790212.4
77578.3
Blue71
130517.4
503223.8
137410.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3955020801005171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.0
18.318.3
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End4.3
blue by 5.4
23.80.2
23.223.4
Auto4.3
Teleop16.4
End3.0
Second
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End4.1
blue by 5.0
17.40.3
16.616.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End5.1
Third
8.30.0
8.38.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End2.1
blue by 2.5
1374
#15
10.80.3
10.110.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End3.1