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Red28
87643.7
238614.8
13342.9
Blue10
9146.7
63975.7
21985.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2221051015253035402810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.9
10.29.2
Auto5.9
Teleop3.8
End5.1
red by 8.1
914
#13
6.71.5
4.63.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End1.1
Second
8764
#14
3.70.9
4.43.4
Auto2.4
Teleop0.2
End1.0
blue by 2.1
6397
#12
5.71.5
6.95.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Third
2.90.9
5.84.9
Auto0.8
Teleop1.0
End1.1
blue by 2.5
5.41.5
8.26.7
Auto3.1
Teleop1.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed