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Red25
13342.9
61014.9
21985.4
Blue7
40158.4
7715.5
63975.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292301020405060257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#3Sur
14.90.2
15.014.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End0.5
red by 6.5
4015
#11
8.41.7
8.97.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.4
Second
5.40.2
6.76.5
Auto3.1
Teleop1.3
End0.9
blue by 0.4
6397
#12Sur
5.71.7
5.43.7
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Third
2.90.2
4.94.7
Auto0.8
Teleop1.0
End1.1
blue by 2.6
771
#10
5.51.7
7.86.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed