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Red70
540922.5
220038.0
79025.8
Blue54
124114.9
497621.7
63977.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71412060801007054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.2
37.137.2
Auto11.1
Teleop17.4
End9.4
red by 16.2
21.70.2
21.121.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End8.1
Second
22.50.2
21.421.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End5.9
red by 7.6
1241
#10
14.90.2
14.314.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Third
7902
#17
5.80.2
4.64.8
Auto4.4
Teleop0.3
End1.0
blue by 1.3
6397
#12
7.10.2
6.76.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End0.1