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Red46
124114.9
497621.7
63977.1
Blue35
748019.4
447616.9
632311.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435302060801004635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.1
21.021.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End8.1
red by 2.3
19.40.4
19.819.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End3.4
Second
1241
#10
14.90.1
14.214.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.3
End1.0
blue by 2.0
16.90.4
17.316.9
Auto6.9
Teleop4.8
End5.2
Third
6397
#12
7.10.1
6.66.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End0.1
blue by 3.9
11.00.4
11.411.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End2.9