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Red70
497621.7
220038.0
63977.1
Blue23
79025.8
87354.6
447616.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions642702040801007023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.01.0
33.034.0
Auto11.1
Teleop17.4
End9.4
red by 21.1
16.90.8
18.918.1
Auto6.9
Teleop4.8
End5.2
Second
21.71.6
17.519.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End8.1
red by 16.0
7902
#17
5.80.8
4.94.1
Auto4.4
Teleop0.3
End1.0
Third
6397
#12
7.11.0
5.06.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End0.1
red by 2.5
8735
#13
4.60.8
6.55.7
Auto0.9
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed