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Red13
87354.6
63977.1
49517.7
Blue18
37393.4
87314.1
447616.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2133010304050601318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4951
#11
7.71.4
9.68.2
Auto4.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
blue by 9.2
16.91.7
18.116.4
Auto6.9
Teleop4.8
End5.2
Second
6397
#12
7.10.8
6.05.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End0.1
red by 3.1
8731
#14
4.11.7
5.94.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.9
End-0.2
Third
8735
#13
4.61.4
5.74.3
Auto0.9
Teleop3.1
End0.7
red by 1.2
3739
#16
3.41.7
5.73.9
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed