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Red70
447631.6
490322.5
63239.3
Blue74
467836.7
132518.2
87897.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5962405070807074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.9
26.727.7
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End8.1
blue by 5.1
36.71.7
34.135.8
Auto9.5
Teleop16.8
End10.5
Second
22.51.5
21.322.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.4
End10.9
red by 4.3
18.21.7
17.318.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.0
End2.6
Third
6323
#12
9.30.9
7.88.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End3.0
red by 2.2
8789
#13
7.11.7
6.68.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsEarned