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Red31
808910.1
61020.5
61627.2
Blue83
502415.3
260923.9
368326.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38652060803183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#10
20.50.6
21.521.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.0
End4.3
blue by 6.3
26.82.5
23.325.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Second
8089
#17
10.10.8
10.09.1
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End3.4
blue by 13.8
23.92.5
20.523.0
Auto7.4
Teleop7.3
End9.3
Third
6162
#11
7.20.8
8.07.2
Auto2.2
Teleop1.1
End3.9
blue by 8.1
15.32.5
13.415.9
Auto6.4
Teleop5.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsEarned