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Red34
490322.5
87897.1
7716.4
Blue36
238616.0
75201.9
467836.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376120801003436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.2
22.821.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.4
End10.9
blue by 14.3
36.72.2
35.833.6
Auto9.5
Teleop16.8
End10.5
Second
8789
#13
7.11.2
8.37.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.4
End3.1
blue by 8.9
16.01.5
15.213.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End5.3
Third
771
#15
6.40.8
7.26.4
Auto1.1
Teleop3.2
End2.1
red by 4.4
7520
#18
1.91.5
3.41.9
Auto0.4
Teleop1.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsMissed