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Red75
87299.6
406914.7
447631.6
Blue40
63319.9
132518.2
63239.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51392060807540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.6
27.729.3
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End8.1
red by 13.5
18.20.2
18.918.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.0
End2.6
Second
14.72.4
11.513.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.5
End3.1
red by 4.8
6331
#16
9.90.2
10.19.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.8
Third
8729
#14
9.62.4
7.29.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End2.2
red by 0.3
6323
#12
9.30.1
8.88.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned11%Hangar oddsMissed