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Red76
260923.9
368326.8
808910.1
Blue53
406914.7
490322.5
63239.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654420801007653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.4
25.826.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End7.4
red by 4.3
22.50.3
21.621.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.4
End10.9
Second
23.90.4
23.023.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.3
End9.3
red by 9.2
14.70.3
13.914.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.5
End3.1
Third
8089
#17
10.10.4
9.19.6
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End3.4
red by 0.8
6323
#12
9.30.2
8.68.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End3.0